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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Foreign Bond Investment climbed to 66.4B in June 2023
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2023
US Foreign Bond Investment climbed to 66.4B in June 2023, released August 2023, up 32.1B from May's 34.3B reading. The print exceeded the 49.9B consensus by 16.5B. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 60.39B. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Bond Investment averaged 64.85B, vs 47.43B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 78th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
66.4
Actual
49.9
Consensus
34.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±17.8 billion
across last 3 releases
Last Call
Aug 2023
Predicted: 45.15
Actual: 66.4
Error: -21.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | FOREX | Bearish AUD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | STOCKS | Bearish GOOGL | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Bond Investment (United States) was reported at 13.50 billion in May 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.60 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 24.28 billion, ranging from -61.20 billion to 146.30 billion across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 7.27 billion, down from the prior three at 20.77 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 61.24 billion) is lower than the prior year (σ 458.12 billion). In May readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Bond Investment has averaged 59.67 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with AUD/USD (Bearish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Foreign Bond Investment - US
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About Foreign Bond Investment — United States
DEFINITION
Foreign bond investment is a financial indicator that measures the amount of money invested by foreign entities in a country's bond market. This indicator is used to assess the level of confidence and interest of international investors in a country's economy and its government's ability to repay its debts. It also provides insight into the flow of capital between countries and can impact a country's currency exchange rates. Foreign bond investment is an important metric for policymakers and investors in understanding the global market trends and making informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Mar 2026): actual 13.5 B. Prior reading (Feb 2026): 2 B. Before that (Jan 2026): 49.9 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bearish AUD, r=-0.46) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.