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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Foreign Bond Investment climbed to 66.4B in June 2023
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2023
US Foreign Bond Investment climbed to 66.4B in June 2023, released August 2023, up 32.1B from May's 34.3B reading. The print exceeded the 49.9B consensus by 16.5B. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 60.39B. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Bond Investment averaged 64.85B, vs 47.43B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 78th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
66.4
Actual
49.9
Consensus
34.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±17.8 billion
across last 3 releases
Last Call
Aug 2023
Predicted: 45.15
Actual: 66.4
Error: -21.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.56 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.49 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.44 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | STOCKS | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Bond Investment (United States) was reported at 56.60 billion in July 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 50.50 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 24.44 billion, ranging from -61.20 billion to 85.60 billion across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 40.20 billion, up from the prior three at 31.30 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 44.84 billion) is lower than the prior year (σ 459.86 billion). In July readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Bond Investment has averaged 82.93 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 17, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Personal Income MoM (Jul 30) and PCE Price Index MoM (Jul 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Foreign Bond Investment - US
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About Foreign Bond Investment — United States
DEFINITION
Foreign bond investment is a financial indicator that measures the amount of money invested by foreign entities in a country's bond market. This indicator is used to assess the level of confidence and interest of international investors in a country's economy and its government's ability to repay its debts. It also provides insight into the flow of capital between countries and can impact a country's currency exchange rates. Foreign bond investment is an important metric for policymakers and investors in understanding the global market trends and making informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 56.6 B. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 50.5 B. Before that (Mar 2026): 13.5 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.56) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Tuesday, July 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.47 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Goods Trade Balance | -101.5 | -105.89 | -100.3 | -100.69 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Goods Trade Balance Adv | -101.5 | -105.89 | -100 | -100.59 | Medium |
| 13:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.45 | Medium |
| 13:00 | US | House Price Index MoM | 0.3 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low |
| 13:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | 0.9 | 1 | 0.6 | 0.75 | Low |
| 13:00 | US | House Price Index YoY | 2.2 | 2 | 1.8 | 2.00 | Low |
| 13:00 | US | House Price Index | 442.4 | 441.3 | 441.4 | 441.90 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | 5 | 4 | 10 | 7.50 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | 8 | 4 | 2 | 5.00 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | CB Consumer Confidence | 90.8 | 92.2 | 92.4 | 91.60 | High |
| 14:00 | US | Richmond Fed Services Index | -3 | 0 | -2 | -2.50 | Low |
| 14:30 | US | Dallas Fed Services Index | 6.6 | 2.9 | 2 | 4.30 | Low |
| 14:30 | US | Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index | 9.5 | 9.8 | 8 | 8.75 | Low |
| 16:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.58 | Medium |
| 17:00 | US | Money Supply | 23.15 | 23.05 | 22.8 | 22.98 | Low |
| 20:50 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 3.296 | 2.603 | -2.5 | 0.40 | Medium |
| Wednesday, July 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -7.167 | 2.011 | -1.3 | -4.27 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 0.007 | 0.765 | -0.7 | -1.52 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 1.062 | 1.395 | 0.2 | -0.16 | Low |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |