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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Foreign Bond Investment climbed to 66.4B in June 2023
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2023
US Foreign Bond Investment climbed to 66.4B in June 2023, released August 2023, up 32.1B from May's 34.3B reading. The print exceeded the 49.9B consensus by 16.5B. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 60.39B. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Bond Investment averaged 64.85B, vs 47.43B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 78th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
66.4
Actual
49.9
Consensus
34.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±17.8 billion
across last 3 releases
Last Call
Aug 2023
Predicted: 45.15
Actual: 66.4
Error: -21.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.49 | STOCKS | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.47 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| AAPL | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | STOCKS | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Bond Investment (United States) was reported at -3.60 billion in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 6.20 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 19.44 billion, ranging from -61.20 billion to 85.60 billion across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 19.93 billion, down from the prior three at 37.97 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 43.53 billion) is lower than the prior year (σ 460.24 billion). In September readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Bond Investment has averaged 36.83 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GOOGL (Bearish GOOGL). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 16, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Fed Collins Speech (Oct 13) and Fed Bowman Speech (Oct 14).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Foreign Bond Investment - US
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About Foreign Bond Investment — United States
DEFINITION
Foreign bond investment is a financial indicator that measures the amount of money invested by foreign entities in a country's bond market. This indicator is used to assess the level of confidence and interest of international investors in a country's economy and its government's ability to repay its debts. It also provides insight into the flow of capital between countries and can impact a country's currency exchange rates. Foreign bond investment is an important metric for policymakers and investors in understanding the global market trends and making informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual -3.6 B. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 6.8 B. Before that (May 2026): 56.6 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GOOGL (Bearish GOOGL, r=-0.49) — a useful reference for stocks-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Tuesday, October 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 97.9 | 98.7 | 98 | 98.38 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | 1.5 | -3.2 | -0.3 | 0.60 | High |
| 14:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 3.99 | 3.93 | 3.95 | 3.97 | High |
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.085 | 4.05 | 4.009 | 4.05 | Low |
| Wednesday, October 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.45 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI s.a | 334.131 | 335.8 | 335.08 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.45 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI | 334.98 | 336.8 | 336.43 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate | 334.98 | 336.65 | 336.65 | High | |
| Thursday, October 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | 5.4 | 5.3 | 5.30 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 37.8 | 28.4 | 42.60 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 7.6 | 10.3 | 10.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 4.6 | 4.4 | 4.40 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1716 | 1710 | 1702.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.70 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 197 | 200 | 195.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index | 157.411 | 159.1 | 159.10 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 198 | 199 | 198.13 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.45 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.25 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 6 | 5.2 | 5.20 | High | |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 6 | 5.2 | 5.20 | High | |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.45 | High | |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.25 | High | |