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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Used Car Prices YoY fell to 0.4 in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
US Used Car Prices YoY fell to 0.4 in August 2026, released September 2026, down 0.9 from July's 1.3 reading.
Latest Release
0.400000
Actual
—
Consensus
1.300000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.70 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.64 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.63 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.61 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.59 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Used Car Prices YoY (United States) was reported at 0.40 in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.30. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.76, ranging from 0.00 to 4.00 across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.77, down from the prior three at 2.27. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.41) is lower than the prior year (σ 3.12). In September readings over the past 3 years, Used Car Prices YoY has averaged -0.60.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/CHF (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15) and NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Used Car Prices YoY - US
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About Used Car Prices YoY — United States
DEFINITION
Used Car Prices YoY (Year over Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the average prices of used cars over a 12-month period. This indicator is used by economists, investors, and consumers to track the trends in the used car market and assess the overall health of the economy. A YoY increase in used car prices may indicate a strong demand for vehicles and a healthy economy, while a decrease may suggest a slowdown in consumer spending. This information can be valuable for making informed decisions in the automotive industry and for understanding the broader economic landscape.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 0.4 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 1.3 %. Before that (May 2026): 3.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CHF (Bullish USD, r=0.70) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Friday, September 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | CPI s.a | 334.131 | 332.81 | 334.14 | 334.14 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.40 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.25 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.40 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High |
| 12:30 | US | CPI | 334.98 | 333.92 | 334.85 | 334.92 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | 50.9 | 51.9 | 51.3 | 51.10 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 45.8 | 51.5 | 50.5 | 48.15 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.30 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 47.8 | 51.7 | 51 | 49.40 | High |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4.6 | 4 | 3.9 | 4.25 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations | 4.6 | 4 | 4.2 | 4.40 | Medium |
| 18:00 | US | Budget Balance | -167 | -432 | -404 | -285.50 | Medium |
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.8 | 3.8999 | 3.90 | Low | |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 20.6 | 15 | 10.85 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | -0.6 | 0.9 | 0.90 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | -0.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 5.9 | 6 | 6.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 5 | 4.3 | 4.30 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | -1.3 | -0.5 | -0.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.65 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | 8.2 | 7.5 | 7.90 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 35 | 34 | 33.50 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 4 | 4.00 | High | |