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US Used Car Prices YoY climbed to 4.0 in February 2026, released March 2026, up 1.6 from January's 2.4 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | ▼ Inverse | −0.71 | STOCKS | Bearish AAPL | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.67 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.59 | STOCKS | Bearish GOOGL | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.49 | FOREX | Bearish NZD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Used Car Prices YoY (United States) was reported at 1.80 in May 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 6.20. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.63, ranging from 0.00 to 6.30 across 9 releases.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.27, up from the prior three at 1.23. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.84) is lower than the prior year (σ 4.49). In March readings over the past 3 years, Used Car Prices YoY has averaged -3.00.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with AAPL (Bearish AAPL). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP).
The next release is scheduled for June 5, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May 25) and Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
Used Car Prices YoY (Year over Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the average prices of used cars over a 12-month period. This indicator is used by economists, investors, and consumers to track the trends in the used car market and assess the overall health of the economy. A YoY increase in used car prices may indicate a strong demand for vehicles and a healthy economy, while a decrease may suggest a slowdown in consumer spending. This information can be valuable for making informed decisions in the automotive industry and for understanding the broader economic landscape.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1.8 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 6.2 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 4 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AAPL (Bearish AAPL, r=-0.71) — a useful reference for stocks-focused traders.
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| Friday, May 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4.8 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.65 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Leading Index MoM | 0.1 | -0.6 | -0.1 | 0.00 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Current Conditions | 45.8 | 52.5 | 47.9 | 46.85 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 44.8 | 49.8 | 48.2 | 46.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 44.1 | 48.1 | 48.4 | 46.25 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations | 4.8 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.65 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.9 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.65 | Low | |
| 17:00 | Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | 425 | 415 | 416 | 420.50 | Low | |
| Tuesday, May 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Medium | ||
| 13:00 | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index MoM | 0 | 0.1 | -0.05 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index YoY | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.80 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index | 441.4 | 441.8 | 440.20 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 0.9 | 1 | 1.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | CB Consumer Confidence | 92.8 | 91.9 | 93.80 | High | ||
| 14:30 | Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | -2.3 | -1 | 0.85 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, May 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Services Index | 9 | 8 | 8.00 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | -2 | -1 | -4.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | 3 | 4 | 3.00 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | Dallas Fed Services Index | -9.9 | -8 | -10.40 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index | 4.3 | 3.5 | 2.55 | Low | ||