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US Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy climbed to 2.0% in February 2013, released March 2013, up 0.1% from January's 1.9% reading. The reading matched the 2.0% consensus.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy (United States) was reported at 2% in February 2013. This matched the market consensus of 2% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.9%. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Sep 9) and API Crude Oil Stock Change (Sep 9).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2013.
The Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy is a widely used financial indicator that measures the average change in prices of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding the volatile categories of food and energy. This indicator provides valuable insights into the overall inflationary trends in the economy, allowing businesses and policymakers to make informed decisions regarding pricing, budgeting, and monetary policy. It is considered a key measure of consumer spending and can impact the financial markets and the cost of living for individuals.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Mar 2013): actual 0.2 %, consensus 0.2 %. Prior reading (Mar 2013): 2 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary headwind in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
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| Tuesday, September 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.8 | 99.3 | 98.95 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.45 | Low | ||
| 15:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.77 | 3.7999 | 3.80 | Low | ||
| 19:00 | Consumer Credit Change | 14.17 | 12 | 12.00 | Low | ||