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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS New Yuan Loans climbed to 5,130B in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US New Yuan Loans climbed to 5,130B in January 2025, released February 2025, up 4,140B from December's 990B reading. The print exceeded the 800B consensus by 4,330B.
Latest Release
5130.000000
Actual
800.000000
Consensus
990.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
New Yuan Loans (United States) was reported at 5,130.00 billion in January 2025. This beat the market consensus of 800.00 billion by 4,330.00 billion. The reading rose from the previous value of 990.00 billion. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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New Yuan Loans - US
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About New Yuan Loans — United States
DEFINITION
New Yuan Loans is a financial indicator that measures the total amount of new loans issued by Chinese banks in a given period of time. This indicator is used to assess the level of credit expansion and economic activity in China, as well as to monitor the effectiveness of monetary policies implemented by the Chinese government. It is a key metric for investors and analysts to understand the state of the Chinese economy and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.