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US 14-Day Bill Auction climbed to 0.06% in October 2021, released November 2021, up 0.0% from September's 0.06% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
14-Day Bill Auction (United States) was reported at 0.06% in November 2021. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.06%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Sep 9) and API Crude Oil Stock Change (Sep 9).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update November 2021.
The 14-Day Bill Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for short-term government debt securities. It involves the auctioning of 14-day Treasury bills, which are considered a safe and liquid investment option for investors. The results of this auction provide insight into the current market sentiment and can impact interest rates and overall economic conditions. This indicator is closely monitored by financial institutions and investors as it reflects the government's ability to borrow money and manage its debt.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Nov 2021): actual 0.06 %. Prior reading (Nov 2021): 0.055 %. Before that (Nov 2021): 0.055 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary headwind in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, September 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 98.7 | 99.8 | 99.3 | 99.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.60 | Low | |
| 15:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.8 | 3.77 | 3.7999 | 3.80 | Low | |
| 19:00 | Consumer Credit Change | 18.06 | 14.56 | 11.7 | 14.88 | Low | |
| Thursday, September 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 4.7 | 4.4 | 4.75 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index | 156.563 | 157 | 157.08 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI YoY | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.35 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1779 | 1790 | 1797.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 206 | 205 | 210.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.25 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index MoM | 0 | 0.4 | 0.60 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index YoY | 4.7 | 5.3 | 5.35 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.55 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 207.25 | 206 | 207.25 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales | 4.06 | 3.99 | 3.99 | High | ||
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales MoM | -1.7 | -0.2 | -0.20 | Medium | ||