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Data from Financial Modeling Prep. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesHMRC Payrolls Change climbed to 21.0 in January 2025
HMRC Payrolls Change climbed to 21.0 in January 2025, up 35.0 from December's -14.0 reading. The print exceeded the -55.0 consensus by 76.0.
Latest Release
21.000000
Actual
-55.000000
Consensus
-14.000000
Previous
The February 2025 reading rose from the previous value of -14. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks) and negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR).
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HMRC Payrolls Change - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | -3.6 | 2.1 | 2.10 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 3.98 | 4.05 | 4.05 | High | |
| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 95.8 | 96.1 | 95.85 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI s.a | 330.293 | 331.9 | 331.90 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI | 330.21 | 332.3 | 332.30 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.60 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.60 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI YoY | 3.3 | 3.7 | 3.70 | High | |
| 18:00 | US | Monthly Budget Statement | -164.1 | 37.5 | 35.00 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | US | Budget Balance | -164 | 37.5 | 37.30 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index | 154.006 | 154.6 | 154.60 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.90 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | 4 | 4.2 | 4.20 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 200 | 205 | 205.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1766 | 1775 | 1775.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | 5.6 | 6.6 | 6.60 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2.80 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.10 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 203.25 | 204 | 204.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 4 | 3.3 | 3.05 | Low | |