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Data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS CPI Rent of Primary Residence climbed to 445.12 in March 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsMonthlyReleased April 2026
US CPI Rent of Primary Residence climbed to 445.12 in March 2026, released April 2026, up 2.41 from February's 442.71 reading.
Latest Release
445.118000
Actual
—
Consensus
442.705000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.84 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.76 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.66 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.64 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.62 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI Rent of Primary Residence (United States) was reported at 445.12 Index 1982-84=100 in March 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 442.71 Index 1982-84=100. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 440.19 Index 1982-84=100, ranging from 436.05 Index 1982-84=100 to 445.12 Index 1982-84=100 across 9 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 443.23 Index 1982-84=100, up from the prior three at 440.16 Index 1982-84=100. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.69 Index 1982-84=100) is lower than the prior year (σ 4.42 Index 1982-84=100). In April readings over the past 3 years, CPI Rent of Primary Residence has averaged 431.55 Index 1982-84=100.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/USD, positively correlated (Bullish AUD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update April 2026.
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CPI Rent of Primary Residence - US
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About CPI Rent of Primary Residence — United States
DEFINITION
US CPI Rent of Primary Residence rose to 440.189000 in November 2025 from October’s 439.002000, marking the tenth consecutive monthly increase. The index has climbed steadily, reflecting persistent shelter inflation with a 2.3% year-over-year gain since November 2024. Bond yields edged higher as investors weighed ongoing rental cost pressures against the Federal Reserve’s inflation target. Updated 4/3/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 445.1 Index 1982-84=100. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 442.7 Index 1982-84=100. Before that (Feb 2026): 441.9 Index 1982-84=100.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.84) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.