United StatesUS MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate fell to 7.3% in October 2026
US MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate fell to 7.3% in October 2026, released November 2026, down 0.07% from September's 7.37% reading.
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Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
Median Absolute Error
across last 4 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Method: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (United States) was reported at 7.3% in November 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 7.37%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through November 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 6.62%, ranging from 6.09% to 7.5% across 44 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 7.36%, down from the prior three at 7.43%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.39%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.2%). In November readings over the past 3 years, MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate has averaged 6.88%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 11, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Fed Schmid Speech (Nov 10) and Fed Bowman Speech (Nov 10).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update November 2026.
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate - US
About MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate — United States
DEFINITION
The MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. This rate is based on data collected from a variety of lenders and serves as a valuable tool for individuals and businesses looking to track trends in the housing market and make informed decisions about mortgage financing. As a key benchmark for the real estate industry, the MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate provides valuable insights into the current state of the economy and can help guide financial planning and investment strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Housing data leads broader economic cycles by several months and is highly rate-sensitive, with knock-on effects to construction, materials, and consumer credit. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Nov 2026): actual 7.3 %. Prior reading (Oct 2026): 7.37 %. Before that (Oct 2026, first reported): 7.41 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast is 7.23% (latest print 7.3%). The 3-month forecast is 7.1%. The projection is based on the indicator's own recent trend.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, November 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.65 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Wholesale Sales MoM | 2.8 | 2 | 1.1 | 1.95 | Low |
| 16:00 | US | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.85 | Low |
| 16:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.06 | 4.04 | 4.009 | 4.03 | Low |
| Tuesday, November 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 97.8 | 97.9 | 97.7 | 98.30 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | CPI s.a | 337.48 | 336.3 | 337 | 337.17 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.33 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.23 | High |
| 13:30 | US | CPI | 337.51 | 336.94 | 337.02 | 337.13 | High |
| 13:55 | US | Redbook YoY | 10.1 | 10.4 | 9.3 | 9.70 | Low |
| 21:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -5.267 | -1 | 3.79 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, November 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Budget Balance | -27 | -298 | -339.85 | Medium | |