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US 30-Year Note Auction climbed to 3.24% in August 2014, released September 2014, up 0.02% from July's 3.22% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
30-Year Note Auction (United States) was reported at 3.24% in September 2014. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.22%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Employment Cost Index QoQ (Jul 31) and Employment Cost - Wages QoQ (Jul 31).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2014.
The 30-Year Note Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for long-term government debt securities. It is a public auction where the US Treasury Department sells 30-year notes to investors, with the goal of raising funds for the government's borrowing needs. The results of the auction provide insight into the current market sentiment and interest rates for long-term investments, making it a key indicator for investors and policymakers.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Sep 2014): actual 3.24 %. Prior reading (May 2014): 3.44 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Wednesday, July 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -7.167 | 2.011 | -1.3 | -4.23 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 0.007 | 0.765 | -0.7 | -0.35 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 1.062 | 1.395 | 0.2 | 0.63 | Low | |
| 18:00 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | |
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Income MoM | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.35 | High | |
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index MoM | -0.1 | 0.5 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | PCE Prices QoQ | 5.1 | 4.6 | 4 | 4.63 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 197 | 188 | 200 | 192.75 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.85 | Low | |
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.7 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.88 | High | |
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1782 | 1789 | 1800 | 1786.75 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.90 | High | |
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 202.75 | 207.75 | 210 | 205.06 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.18 | High | |
| 12:30 | GDP Sales QoQ | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.82 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Core PCE Prices QoQ | 3.4 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 3.52 | Low | |
| 12:30 | GDP Price Index QoQ | 6.3 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 4.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Personal Spending MoM | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | |
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 28 | 32 | 35 | 33.00 | Low | |