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US 30-Year Note Auction climbed to 3.24% in August 2014, released September 2014, up 0.02% from July's 3.22% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
30-Year Note Auction (United States) was reported at 3.24% in September 2014. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.22%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 29) and GDP Price Index QoQ (Oct 29).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2014.
The 30-Year Note Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for long-term government debt securities. It is a public auction where the US Treasury Department sells 30-year notes to investors, with the goal of raising funds for the government's borrowing needs. The results of the auction provide insight into the current market sentiment and interest rates for long-term investments, making it a key indicator for investors and policymakers.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Sep 2014): actual 3.24 %. Prior reading (May 2014): 3.44 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Wednesday, October 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.55 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 0.15 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance | -134.9 | -132.07 | -130 | -132.45 | High | |
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -1.462 | 1.675 | -0.9 | -1.18 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -1.892 | -3.061 | 0 | -0.95 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 3.87 | -2.952 | -0.9 | 1.49 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4.00 | High | |
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 194 | 199 | 197.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | GDP Price Index QoQ | 6.1 | 3.2 | 4.55 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.25 | High | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.60 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Income MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.25 | High | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index MoM | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3 | 3.1 | 3.10 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 197.75 | 197 | 193.38 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1728 | 1720 | 1711.00 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | 3.8 | 3.9 | 5.30 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | GDP Sales QoQ | 2.8 | 3.5 | 3.90 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Spending MoM | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.60 | High | ||
| 12:30 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 2.2 | 3.2 | 2.90 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Prices QoQ | 3.3 | 2.4 | 2.35 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Prices QoQ | 5 | 3.4 | 3.95 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 77 | 75 | 71.50 | Low | ||