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US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure - Price Index MoM held to 0.1% in March 2013. The reading missed the 0.2% consensus by 0.1%.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Core Personal Consumption Expenditure - Price Index MoM (United States) was reported at 0.1% in March 2013. This missed the market consensus of 0.2% by 0.1%. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Aug 19) and EIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Aug 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2013.
The Core Personal Consumption Expenditure - Price Index MoM is a key economic indicator that measures the change in prices of goods and services purchased by individuals and households on a monthly basis. It is considered a reliable measure of inflation and is closely monitored by policymakers and investors to assess the health of the economy. This indicator excludes volatile food and energy prices, providing a more accurate reflection of underlying inflation trends.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Mar 2013): actual 0.1 %, consensus 0.2 %.
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, August 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Housing Starts MoM | -12.4 | 19.7 | -4.7 | -6.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 5.9 | 7.1 | 7.2 | 6.55 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | -0.4 | -0.3 | 0.1 | -0.15 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | -1.3 | -0.7 | 0.2 | -0.55 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Housing Starts | 1.239 | 1.415 | 1.35 | 1.34 | High | |
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 8.2 | 10.2 | 9.6 | 8.90 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | 5 | -2.6 | 1.2 | 3.47 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.443 | 1.374 | 1.37 | 1.40 | High | |
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.35 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Capacity Utilization | 76.3 | 76.2 | 76.3 | 76.30 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.1 | 1.29 | 1 | 1.05 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.25 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales MoM | -2.3 | -4.8 | 0.3 | -1.00 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales YoY | -2.2 | -0.3 | 1.4 | -0.40 | Medium | |
| 14:20 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.30 | Medium | |
| Thursday, August 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1777 | 1790 | 1786.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 41.4 | 25 | 15.80 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 209 | 210 | 209.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 199 | 200 | 199.75 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Leading Index MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 36 | 15 | 18.00 | Low | ||