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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Core PCE Prices QoQ climbed to 4.3 in January 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2026
US Core PCE Prices QoQ climbed to 4.3 in January 2026, released April 2026, up 1.6 from December's 2.7 reading. The reading matched the 4.1 consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 2.86. Core PCE Prices QoQ is now the highest in 33 months.
Latest Release
4.3
Actual
4.1
Consensus
2.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.1 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 2.7
Actual: 2.7
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.57 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.44 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The April 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 2.7. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.1. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CHF (Bearish USD) and negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD).
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Core PCE Prices QoQ - US
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