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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 3-Month Letras Auction fell to 2.43% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US 3-Month Letras Auction fell to 2.43% in January 2025, released February 2025, down 0.06% from December's 2.49% reading.
Latest Release
2.431000
Actual
—
Consensus
2.493000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
3-Month Letras Auction (United States) was reported at 2.43% in January 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.49%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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3-Month Letras Auction - US
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About 3-Month Letras Auction — United States
DEFINITION
The 3-Month Letras Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for short-term government debt securities in a specific country. This auction allows investors to purchase 3-month Letras, which are fixed-income securities issued by the government, at a competitive interest rate. The results of this auction provide valuable insights into the current economic climate and investor sentiment, making it a key indicator for financial analysts and policymakers.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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