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US Wholesale Prices MoM climbed to 0.9% in January 2025, released February 2025, up 0.8% from December's 0.1% reading. The print exceeded the 0.2% consensus by 0.7%.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Wholesale Prices MoM (United States) was reported at 0.9% in January 2025. This beat the market consensus of 0.2% by 0.7%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.1%. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Existing Home Sales MoM (Aug 11) and Existing Home Sales (Aug 11).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
Wholesale Prices MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the average selling prices of goods and services at the wholesale level on a monthly basis. This indicator is used by economists, investors, and policymakers to track inflationary trends and assess the overall health of the economy. A positive change in Wholesale Prices MoM may indicate rising inflation, while a negative change may suggest deflationary pressures. It is an important tool for decision-making in various industries, as it provides insight into the cost of goods and potential changes in consumer prices.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Friday, August 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Participation Rate | 61.4 | 61.5 | 61.6 | 61.50 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | U-6 Unemployment Rate | 7.9 | 7.9 | 7.9 | 7.90 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Non Farm Payrolls | -23 | 20 | 80 | 28.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.35 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Unemployment Rate | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.15 | High | |
| 12:30 | Average Weekly Hours | 34.3 | 34.3 | 34.3 | 34.30 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Manufacturing Payrolls | 5 | 11 | 4 | 4.50 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Government Payrolls | -53 | -10 | 10 | -21.50 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Nonfarm Payrolls Private | 30 | 30 | 78 | 54.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.70 | Low | |
| 17:00 | Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | 454 | 451 | 452 | 453.00 | Low | |
| 19:00 | Consumer Credit Change | 14.17 | -1.08 | 10.5 | 12.34 | Low | |
| Tuesday, August 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 97.4 | 97.1 | 97.00 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales MoM | -2.4 | -0.7 | -1.65 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales | 4.09 | 4.07 | 4.05 | High | ||
| Wednesday, August 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.25 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.4 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.45 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.55 | High | ||
| 12:30 | CPI | 333.95 | 334.03 | 334.39 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | CPI s.a | 332.568 | 332.6 | 332.85 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Core CPI YoY | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | CPI YoY | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.45 | High | ||
| 12:30 | CPI MoM | -0.4 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core CPI MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High | ||
| 18:00 | Monthly Budget Statement | -120 | -340 | -342.50 | Medium | ||