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US Wholesale Inventories MoM Adv climbed to 0.3% in July 2024, released August 2024, up 0.2% from June's 0.1% reading. The print exceeded the 0.2% consensus by 0.1%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.07%. Over the past 3 months, Wholesale Inventories MoM Adv averaged 0.4%, vs 0.1% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 69th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Aug 2024
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Wholesale Inventories MoM Adv (United States) was reported at 0.3% in August 2024. This beat the market consensus of 0.2% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.1%.
The trailing three releases averaged 0.37%, up from the prior three at 0.1%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.25%.
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun 25) and Durable Goods Orders MoM (Jun 25).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2024.
The Wholesale Inventories MoM Adv is a key financial indicator that measures the monthly change in the level of inventories held by wholesalers. This data provides valuable insights into the current state of the wholesale sector and can be used to gauge the overall health of the economy. A positive change in wholesale inventories indicates an increase in demand for goods, while a negative change may suggest a slowdown in economic activity. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and policymakers as it can impact market trends and inform business decisions.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jul 2024): actual 0.3 %, consensus 0.2 %. Prior reading (Jun 2024): 0.2 %. Before that (May 2024): 0.6 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, June 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 55.7 | 55.1 | 54.8 | 55.25 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.3 | 50.7 | 51 | 51.15 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.2 | 51.5 | 50.8 | 51.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | 4 | 13 | 9 | 6.50 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Services Index | -1 | 14 | 11 | 5.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | 3 | 16 | 9 | 6.00 | Low | |
| Thursday, June 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.12 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 7.9 | -4.3 | -4.30 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 226 | 225 | 225.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Income MoM | 0 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Spending MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index MoM | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | -1.1 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1810 | 1800 | 1784.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | 8.1 | -3.9 | -3.90 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 223.25 | 226 | 225.25 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.8 | 4 | 4.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Real Consumer Spending | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.40 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 8 | 6 | 10.00 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 9 | 7 | 11.50 | Low | ||
| Friday, June 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance | -83.01 | -85.4 | -85.40 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance Adv | -83 | -85.2 | -85.20 | Medium | ||