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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Total Private Payrolls climbed to 135,320 in February 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
US Total Private Payrolls climbed to 135,320 in February 2026, released March 2026, up 186 from January's 135,134 reading.
Latest Release
135320.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
135134.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.56 | FOREX | Bearish AUD | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | FOREX | Bearish NZD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The March 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 135,134. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/CAD (Bullish USD) and negatively correlated with AUD/USD (Bearish AUD).
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Total Private Payrolls - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.65 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 211 | 199 | 205 | 208.00 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1782 | 1758 | 1790 | 1786.00 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | 8.8 | 5.4 | 6.6 | 7.70 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1 | 1.45 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.45 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 4.2 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 3.55 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | 3.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 2.20 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.30 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 203.75 | 203 | 203.5 | 203.63 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 4.9 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 4.10 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.85 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.45 | Low |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 85 | 63 | 85 | 85.00 | Low |
| 15:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.85 | Medium |
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 19.6 | 11 | 7.5 | 11.55 | Medium |
| 13:15 | US | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.50 | Medium |
| 13:15 | US | Capacity Utilization | 76.1 | 75.7 | 75.8 | 75.95 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.75 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 0.76 | 0.4 | 0.90 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.40 | Low |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 34 | 34 | 31.50 | Medium | |