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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 6-Month Bill Auction fell to 3.68% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
US 6-Month Bill Auction fell to 3.68% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 0.01% from April's 3.69% reading.
Latest Release
3.680000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.690000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
6-Month Bill Auction (United States) was reported at 3.68% in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.69%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.71%, ranging from 3.48% to 4.15% across 46 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.68%, up from the prior three at 3.63%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.2%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.34%). In June readings over the past 3 years, 6-Month Bill Auction has averaged 4.48%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with MSFT (Bearish MSFT).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 22, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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6-Month Bill Auction - US
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About 6-Month Bill Auction — United States
DEFINITION
The 6-Month Bill Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for short-term government debt securities. It involves the auctioning of 6-month Treasury bills, which are considered a safe and liquid investment option. This indicator provides insight into the current market sentiment and can be used to gauge the overall health of the economy. Investors and analysts closely monitor the results of these auctions as they can impact interest rates and the overall performance of the financial markets.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 3.68 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 3.69 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 3.665 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.