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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS U-6 Unemployment Rate fell to 7.9% in February 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
US U-6 Unemployment Rate fell to 7.9% in February 2026, released March 2026, down 0.2% from January's 8.1% reading. The reading matched expectations.
Latest Release
7.900000
Actual
8.000000
Consensus
8.100000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.2 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 7.78
Actual: 7.9
Error: -0.13
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | ▲ Direct | +0.73 | STOCKS | Bullish AAPL | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.70 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.61 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| GOOGL | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | STOCKS | Bullish GOOGL | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.54 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The March 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 8.1. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.2. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AAPL (Bullish AAPL) and negatively correlated with USD/CHF (Bearish USD).
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U-6 Unemployment Rate - US
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