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US Chain Stores Sales YoY fell to 2.2% in December 2014, down 0.9% from November's 3.1% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Chain Stores Sales YoY (United States) was reported at 2.2% in December 2014. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.1%.
The trailing three releases averaged 2.8%, up from the prior three at 1.6%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include OPEC Meeting (Sep 6) and MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Sep 9).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2014.
Chain Stores Sales YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the percentage change in sales for a specific chain of retail stores compared to the same period in the previous year. This metric is used to assess the overall performance and growth of a chain store and can provide valuable insights into consumer spending trends and the effectiveness of the company's sales strategies. It is a key tool for investors and analysts in evaluating the financial health and potential of a chain store.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Dec 2014): actual 2.2 %. Prior reading (Dec 2014): 3.1 %. Before that (Apr 2014): 3.1 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Friday, September 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3 | 3.05 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Participation Rate | 61.6 | 61.4 | 61.4 | 61.50 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Average Weekly Hours | 34.4 | 34.3 | 34.3 | 34.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Government Payrolls | 35 | -50 | -11 | 12.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Manufacturing Payrolls | 16 | 14 | 5 | 10.50 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Non Farm Payrolls | 162 | 21 | 56 | 109.00 | High | |
| 12:30 | Unemployment Rate | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | Nonfarm Payrolls Private | 127 | 71 | 45 | 86.00 | High | |
| 12:30 | U-6 Unemployment Rate | 7.7 | 7.9 | 8 | 7.85 | High | |
| Tuesday, September 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.8 | 99.3 | 98.95 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.45 | Low | ||
| 15:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.77 | 3.709 | 3.71 | Low | ||
| 19:00 | Consumer Credit Change | 14.17 | 11.3 | 11.30 | Low | ||