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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS WPI Inflation YoY fell to 2.31% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US WPI Inflation YoY fell to 2.31% in January 2025, released February 2025, down 0.06% from December's 2.37% reading. The reading missed the 2.5% consensus by 0.19%.
Latest Release
2.310000
Actual
2.500000
Consensus
2.370000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
WPI Inflation YoY (United States) was reported at 2.31% in January 2025. This missed the market consensus of 2.5% by 0.19%. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.37%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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WPI Inflation YoY - US
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About WPI Inflation YoY — United States
DEFINITION
WPI Inflation YoY, or Wholesale Price Index Inflation Year-over-Year, is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the average prices of goods sold in the wholesale market over a one-year period. It is used to track inflation trends and can provide insights into the overall health of the economy. A higher WPI Inflation YoY indicates an increase in prices, while a lower reading suggests a decrease. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors to make informed decisions about monetary and fiscal policies, pricing strategies, and investment opportunities.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.