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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations climbed to 4.8% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
US Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations climbed to 4.8% in May 2026, up 0.1% from April's 4.7% reading. The print exceeded the 4.5% consensus by 0.3%.
Latest Release
4.8
Actual
4.5
Consensus
4.7
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations (United States) was reported at 4.8% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 4.5% by 0.3%. The reading rose from the previous value of 4.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 12, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 10) and Core Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 10).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations - US
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About Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations — United States
DEFINITION
US Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations rose to 4.800% in May, beating the 4.500% estimate. This marks an increase from April’s 4.500%, reversing the prior decline and signaling rising inflation concerns. Market participants will watch for further inflation data and Fed commentary amid this uptick. Updated 5/22/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 4.8 %, consensus 4.5 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 4.5 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 4.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection.