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Data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS CPI Owners Equivalent Rent climbed to 442.89 in June 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsMonthlyReleased July 2026
US CPI Owners Equivalent Rent climbed to 442.89 in June 2026, released July 2026, up 1.15 from May's 441.74 reading.
Latest Release
442.888000
Actual
—
Consensus
441.741000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.81 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.76 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.74 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.69 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI Owners Equivalent Rent (United States) was reported at 442.89 Index 1982-84=100 in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 441.74 Index 1982-84=100. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 437.64 Index 1982-84=100, ranging from 432.52 Index 1982-84=100 to 442.89 Index 1982-84=100 across 9 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 441.77 Index 1982-84=100, up from the prior three at 437.41 Index 1982-84=100. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.47 Index 1982-84=100) is lower than the prior year (σ 4.49 Index 1982-84=100). In July readings over the past 3 years, CPI Owners Equivalent Rent has averaged 428.05 Index 1982-84=100.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Sep 9) and API Crude Oil Stock Change (Sep 9).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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CPI Owners Equivalent Rent - US
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About CPI Owners Equivalent Rent — United States
DEFINITION
US CPI Owners Equivalent Rent rose to 440.683 in May, up from April's 439.379, marking a steady increase. The May reading continues the upward trend from March's 437.051, indicating persistent pressure on housing costs. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation data closely amid ongoing Federal Reserve policy considerations. Updated 7/4/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 442.9 Index 1982-84=100. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 441.7 Index 1982-84=100. Before that (May 2026): 440.7 Index 1982-84=100.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.81) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Tuesday, September 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.8 | 99.3 | 98.95 | Low | |
| 15:00 | US | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.45 | Low | |
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.77 | 3.7999 | 3.80 | Low | |
| 19:00 | US | Consumer Credit Change | 14.17 | 12 | 12.00 | Low | |