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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Eco Watchers Survey Current fell to 48.6 in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US Eco Watchers Survey Current fell to 48.6 in January 2025, released February 2025, down 0.4 from December's 49 reading. The reading matched the 49.7 consensus.
Latest Release
48.600000
Actual
49.700000
Consensus
49.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Eco Watchers Survey Current (United States) was reported at 48.60 in January 2025. This missed the market consensus of 49.70 by 1.10. The reading fell from the previous value of 49.00.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Sep 10) and EIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Sep 10).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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Eco Watchers Survey Current - US
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About Eco Watchers Survey Current — United States
DEFINITION
The Eco Watchers Survey Current is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the current economic conditions in Japan. It is based on a monthly survey of business executives and households, providing valuable insights into the country's economic performance and future outlook. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it reflects the sentiment and confidence of key stakeholders in the Japanese economy. Its timely and accurate data makes it a crucial tool for decision-making and forecasting in the financial world.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Wednesday, September 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -0.3 | -2.6 | -1.3 | -0.80 | Medium |
| Thursday, September 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.4 | 4.65 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index | 157.411 | 156.784 | 157 | 157.14 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 4.6 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 4.47 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1774 | 1775 | 1780 | 1782.25 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 206 | 207 | 205 | 207.75 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.25 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.50 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | 5.4 | 4.8 | 5.3 | 5.35 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.42 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 206 | 207.5 | 206 | 206.63 | Low |
| Friday, September 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI s.a | 332.81 | 334.14 | 334.14 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI | 333.92 | 334.85 | 334.85 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | 51.9 | 51.3 | 52.40 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 51.5 | 50.5 | 53.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 51.7 | 51 | 52.45 | High | |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4 | 3.9 | 3.80 | Low | |
| 18:00 | US | Monthly Budget Statement | -432 | -480 | -480.00 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | US | Budget Balance | -432 | -202.5 | -202.50 | Medium | |