Loading page content
Loading page content
US Services NZ PSI climbed to 50.4 in January 2025, released February 2025, up 2.3 from December's 48.1 reading. The reading matched the 49 consensus.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Services NZ PSI (United States) was reported at 50.40 in January 2025. This beat the market consensus of 49.00 by 1.40. The reading rose from the previous value of 48.10.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Sep 23) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
The Services NZ PSI (Performance of Services Index) is a key economic indicator that measures the performance of the services sector in New Zealand. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the country's service industries, including areas such as retail, tourism, and business services. The index is based on a monthly survey of businesses, and a reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector, while a reading below 50 indicates contraction. The Services NZ PSI is closely monitored by economists, policymakers, and investors as it reflects the overall state of the New Zealand economy.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, September 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | -5 | 11 | 9 | 2.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Services Index | 0 | -8 | -6 | -3.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -2 | 4 | 5 | 1.50 | Low | |
| 20:30 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 1.786 | 7.14 | -0.5 | 0.64 | Medium | |
| 21:00 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 1.786 | 7.14 | -0.5 | 0.64 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, September 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.9 | 53.6 | 53.60 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 56 | 55.2 | 55.20 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Services PMI | 56.5 | 56 | 56.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -0.64 | -0.6 | -0.60 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, September 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 196 | 201 | 196.00 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Current Account | -226.8 | -255 | -255.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 203.25 | 203 | 202.13 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1730 | 1750 | 1760.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | -2.7 | 4.3 | -2.7 | -2.70 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.394 | 1.433 | 1.394 | 1.39 | Low | |
| 14:00 | New Home Sales | 0.607 | 0.62 | 0.62 | High | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 17 | 9 | 15.00 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 10 | 5 | 7.50 | Low | ||
| Friday, September 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.95 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 1.1 | -0.4 | -0.40 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | 1.3 | -0.6 | -0.95 | High | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 47.8 | 51.7 | 47.6 | 47.70 | High | |
| 14:00 | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Current Conditions | 50.9 | 51.9 | 49.5 | 50.20 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4.6 | 4 | 4.6 | 4.60 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 45.8 | 51.5 | 45.8 | 45.80 | Low | |
| 17:00 | Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | 452 | 453 | 453.00 | Low | ||