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Data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Education Health Services Payrolls climbed to 27,973 Thousands in May 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsMonthlyReleased June 2026
US Education Health Services Payrolls climbed to 27,973 Thousands in May 2026, released June 2026, up 69 Thousands from April's 27,904 Thousands reading.
Latest Release
27973.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
27904.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | ▼ Inverse | −0.62 | STOCKS | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.56 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | STOCKS | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Education Health Services Payrolls (United States) was reported at 27,973.00 Thousands in May 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 27,904.00 Thousands. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 27,720.90 Thousands, ranging from 27,489.00 Thousands to 27,973.00 Thousands across 10 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 27,912.00 Thousands, up from the prior three at 27,745.00 Thousands. Volatility over the past year (σ 154.18 Thousands) is lower than the prior year (σ 234.24 Thousands). In June readings over the past 3 years, Education Health Services Payrolls has averaged 27,257.33 Thousands.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with AAPL (Bearish AAPL). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Jackson Hole Symposium (Aug 28) and Chicago PMI (Aug 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Education Health Services Payrolls - US
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About Education Health Services Payrolls — United States
DEFINITION
US Education Health Services Payrolls rose to 27973.000000K in June, up from May’s 27904.000000K. This increase continues the steady monthly growth trend observed since September 2025, indicating ongoing expansion in the sector. Market participants will watch upcoming labor reports for further confirmation of this momentum. Updated 7/4/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Labor-market data shapes consumer-spending forecasts and is closely tracked by central banks assessing the output gap and wage-inflation pass-through. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 27,973 Thousands. Prior reading (May 2026): 27,904 Thousands. Before that (Apr 2026): 27,859 Thousands.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AAPL (Bearish AAPL, r=-0.62) — a useful reference for stocks-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Wednesday, August 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | 0.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.35 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.75 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.70 | High |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.88 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Corporate Profits QoQ | 8.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.05 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.30 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.18 | High |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.63 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Personal Income MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.15 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Personal Spending MoM | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.18 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | 3.4 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 3.20 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.40 | High |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Price Index QoQ | 6.4 | 3.6 | 6.3 | 6.08 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Sales QoQ | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.18 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.40 | High |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Prices QoQ | 5.3 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 5.15 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Prices QoQ | 3.6 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 3.48 | Low |
| 14:10 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.6 | 4 | 4 | 4.03 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -2.228 | -1.53 | -1.6 | -2.03 | Low |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | -2.536 | 0.688 | -0.7 | -1.20 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | 0.095 | 4.405 | 0.6 | 0.67 | Medium |
| Thursday, August 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Goods Trade Balance Adv | -118.8 | -101.41 | -99 | -108.90 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 205.5 | 204.25 | 203 | 203.13 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 203 | 207 | 208 | 207.75 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | -0.5 | 0 | 0.35 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.70 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1778 | 1796 | 1790 | 1788.50 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Goods Trade Balance | -118.8 | -101.41 | -99 | -108.90 | High |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 15 | 16 | 20 | 17.75 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 17 | 17 | 14 | 15.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9.00 | Low |