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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Total Net TIC Flows fell to -2.9B in September 2013
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2013
US Total Net TIC Flows fell to -2.9B in September 2013, released October 2013, down 59.6B from August's 56.7B reading.
Latest Release
-2.900000
Actual
—
Consensus
56.700000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Total Net TIC Flows (United States) was reported at -2.90 billion in October 2013. The reading fell from the previous value of 56.70 billion.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 11.60 billion, down from the prior three at 37.37 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Building Permits MoM (Jun 16) and Building Permits (Jun 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2013.
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Total Net TIC Flows - US
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About Total Net TIC Flows — United States
DEFINITION
Total Net TIC Flows is a financial indicator that measures the net inflow or outflow of capital into a country from foreign investors. It takes into account all transactions in Treasury securities, corporate bonds, and equities, providing a comprehensive view of the overall investment activity in a country. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and policymakers as it reflects the confidence of foreign investors in a country's economy and can impact its currency and financial markets.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2013): actual -2.9 B. Prior reading (Sep 2013): 56.7 B. Before that (Aug 2013): -19 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.