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US Consumer Price Index climbed to 233.52 in September 2013, up 0.2 from August's 233.32 reading. The reading matched the 234.05 consensus.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Consumer Price Index (United States) was reported at 233.95 in October 2013. The reading rose from the previous value of 233.52.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15) and NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2013.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a widely used financial indicator that measures the average change in prices of goods and services purchased by households over time. It is a key tool for tracking inflation and is used by governments, businesses, and individuals to make informed decisions about economic policies, investments, and personal finances. The CPI provides valuable insights into the overall health of the economy and helps to monitor the impact of price changes on consumers' purchasing power.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Oct 2013): actual 234. Prior reading (Sep 2013): 233.5.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Friday, September 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | CPI s.a | 334.131 | 332.81 | 334.14 | 334.14 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.25 | High | |
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | CPI | 334.98 | 333.92 | 334.85 | 334.92 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Current Conditions | 50.9 | 51.9 | 51.3 | 51.10 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 45.8 | 51.5 | 50.5 | 48.15 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.30 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 47.8 | 51.7 | 51 | 49.40 | High | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4.6 | 4 | 3.9 | 4.25 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations | 4.6 | 4 | 4.2 | 4.40 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | Budget Balance | -167 | -432 | -404 | -285.50 | Medium | |
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.8 | 3.8999 | 3.90 | Low | ||
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 20.6 | 15 | 10.85 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | -0.6 | 0.9 | 0.90 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | -0.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 5.9 | 6 | 6.35 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 5 | 4.3 | 4.30 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | -1.3 | -0.5 | -0.45 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.65 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 8.2 | 7.5 | 7.90 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 35 | 34 | 33.50 | Medium | ||
| 18:00 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 4 | 4.00 | High | ||