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US 30-Year TIPS Auction climbed to 2.97% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 0.5% from June's 2.47% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
30-Year TIPS Auction (United States) was reported at 2.97% in August 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.47%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026.
The trailing three releases averaged 2.7%, up from the prior three at 2.22%. In August readings over the past 3 years, 30-Year TIPS Auction has averaged 2.56%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Sep 23) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
The 30-Year TIPS Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for 30-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) through a competitive bidding process. TIPS are a type of bond issued by the US Treasury that protects investors against inflation by adjusting the principal value of the bond based on changes in the Consumer Price Index. The auction provides insight into the market's expectations for future inflation and interest rates, making it a valuable tool for investors and policymakers.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 2.973 %. Prior reading (Feb 2026): 2.473 %. Before that (Aug 2025): 2.65 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, September 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | -5 | 11 | 9 | 2.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Services Index | 0 | -8 | -6 | -3.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -2 | 4 | 5 | 1.50 | Low | |
| 20:30 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 1.786 | 7.14 | -0.5 | 0.64 | Medium | |
| 21:00 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 1.786 | 7.14 | -0.5 | 0.64 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, September 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.9 | 53.6 | 53.60 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 56 | 55.2 | 55.20 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Services PMI | 56.5 | 56 | 56.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -0.64 | -0.6 | -0.60 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, September 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 196 | 201 | 196.00 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Current Account | -226.8 | -255 | -255.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 203.25 | 203 | 202.13 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1730 | 1750 | 1760.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | -2.7 | 4.3 | -2.7 | -2.70 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.394 | 1.433 | 1.394 | 1.39 | Low | |
| 14:00 | New Home Sales | 0.607 | 0.62 | 0.62 | High | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 17 | 9 | 15.00 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 10 | 5 | 7.50 | Low | ||
| Friday, September 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.95 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 1.1 | -0.4 | -0.40 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | 1.3 | -0.6 | -0.95 | High | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 47.8 | 51.7 | 47.6 | 47.70 | High | |
| 14:00 | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Current Conditions | 50.9 | 51.9 | 49.5 | 50.20 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4.6 | 4 | 4.6 | 4.60 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 45.8 | 51.5 | 45.8 | 45.80 | Low | |
| 17:00 | Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | 452 | 453 | 453.00 | Low | ||