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US 273-Day Bill Auction fell to 0.14% in June 2020, released July 2020, down 0.04% from May's 0.18% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
273-Day Bill Auction (United States) was reported at 0.14% in July 2020. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.18%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Existing Home Sales MoM (Aug 11) and Existing Home Sales (Aug 11).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2020.
The 273-Day Bill Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for short-term government debt securities with a maturity of 273 days. It is conducted by the government to raise funds and investors can bid on these bills at a discount to their face value. This indicator provides insight into the current market sentiment and can be used to gauge the overall health of the economy.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jul 2020): actual 0.14 %. Prior reading (Jun 2020): 0.18 %. Before that (May 2020): 0.18 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, August 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 97.4 | 97.8 | 97.70 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales MoM | -2.4 | -0.7 | -1.65 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales | 4.09 | 4.07 | 4.05 | High | ||
| Wednesday, August 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.25 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.4 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.45 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.55 | High | ||
| 12:30 | CPI | 333.95 | 334.03 | 334.39 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | CPI s.a | 332.568 | 332.6 | 332.85 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Core CPI YoY | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | CPI YoY | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.45 | High | ||
| 12:30 | CPI MoM | -0.4 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core CPI MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High | ||
| 18:00 | Monthly Budget Statement | -120 | -294.6 | -297.10 | Medium | ||
| 18:00 | Budget Balance | -120 | -294.6 | -265.70 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, August 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1801 | 1799 | 1799.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 199 | 198 | 198.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI YoY | 4.7 | 4.7 | 5.15 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.55 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.3 | 0.1 | 0.55 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 198.75 | 197 | 197.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.45 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.25 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index | 156.566 | 156.41 | 157.36 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index YoY | 5.5 | 5 | 5.55 | Low | ||