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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 12-Month Bubill Auction fell to 2.1% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US 12-Month Bubill Auction fell to 2.1% in January 2025, released February 2025, down 0.31% from December's 2.4% reading.
Latest Release
2.096000
Actual
—
Consensus
2.402000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
12-Month Bubill Auction (United States) was reported at 2.1% in January 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.4%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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12-Month Bubill Auction - US
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About 12-Month Bubill Auction — United States
DEFINITION
The 12-Month Bubill Auction is a financial indicator that measures the interest rate at which the Australian government borrows money from investors for a period of 12 months. This auction is held every month and provides insight into the current demand for Australian government debt and the overall health of the economy. It is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it can impact interest rates and the overall cost of borrowing for the government.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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