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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn fell to 9.02B in Q4 2025
FMPQuarterlyReleased March 2026
US Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn fell to 9.02B in Q4 2025, released March 2026, down 4.26B from November's 13.28B reading. The reading matched the 9.14B consensus.
Latest Release
9.020000
Actual
9.140000
Consensus
13.280000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.13 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 9.23
Actual: 9.02
Error: +0.21
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn (United States) was reported at 9.02 billion in December 2025. This missed the market consensus of 9.14 billion by 0.12 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 13.28 billion.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 7.94 billion, down from the prior three at 8.29 billion. In March readings over the past 3 years, Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn has averaged 8.51 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.13 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn - US
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About Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn — United States
DEFINITION
Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn is a financial indicator that measures the amount of corn held in storage by commercial grain facilities at the end of each quarter. This data provides insight into the supply and demand of corn, which is a key commodity in the agricultural industry. It is used by investors, traders, and analysts to make informed decisions about the corn market and its potential impact on the overall economy. This indicator is released by the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) and is closely monitored by the agriculture and financial sectors.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Mar 2026): actual 9.02 B, consensus 9.14 B. Prior reading (Dec 2025): 13.28 B. Before that (Sep 2025): 1.53 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.