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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Auto Sales YoY fell to -13.9% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US Auto Sales YoY fell to -13.9% in January 2025, released February 2025, down 21.2% from December's 7.3% reading. The reading missed the 6.0% consensus by 19.9%.
Latest Release
-13.900000
Actual
6.000000
Consensus
7.300000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Auto Sales YoY (United States) was reported at -13.9% in January 2025. This missed the market consensus of 6% by 19.9%. The reading fell from the previous value of 7.3%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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Auto Sales YoY - US
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About Auto Sales YoY — United States
DEFINITION
Auto Sales YoY (Year over Year) is a financial indicator that measures the percentage change in the number of vehicles sold by a company or industry over a 12-month period. This metric is used to assess the health and growth of the automotive market and can provide valuable insights into consumer spending and economic trends. A positive YoY growth indicates an increase in demand for vehicles, while a negative YoY growth may suggest a decline in sales. Auto Sales YoY is a key indicator for investors, analysts, and businesses in the automotive industry to make informed decisions and projections.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.