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US QE MBS fell to 0B in October 2014, down 5B from September's 5B reading. The reading matched the 0B consensus. QE MBS has now declined for 6 consecutive months. QE MBS is now the lowest in 9 months.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
QE MBS (United States) was reported at 0.00 billion in October 2014. This matched the market consensus of 0.00 billion exactly. The reading fell from the previous value of 5.00 billion.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 5.00 billion, down from the prior three at 23.33 billion.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Sep 23) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2014.
QE MBS stands for Quantitative Easing Mortgage-Backed Securities, a financial indicator used by central banks to stimulate the economy. It involves the purchase of mortgage-backed securities by the central bank, injecting liquidity into the market and lowering interest rates. This indicator is closely monitored by investors and economists as it can impact the housing market and overall economic growth.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Oct 2014): actual 0 B, consensus 0 B. Prior reading (Oct 2014): 0 B. Before that (Oct 2014): 0 B.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, September 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | -5 | 11 | 9 | 2.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Services Index | 0 | -8 | -6 | -3.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -2 | 4 | 5 | 1.50 | Low | |
| 20:30 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 1.786 | 7.14 | -0.5 | 0.64 | Medium | |
| 21:00 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 1.786 | 7.14 | -0.5 | 0.64 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, September 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.9 | 53.6 | 53.60 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 56 | 55.2 | 55.20 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Services PMI | 56.5 | 56 | 56.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -0.64 | -0.6 | -0.60 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, September 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 196 | 201 | 196.00 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Current Account | -226.8 | -255 | -255.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 203.25 | 203 | 202.13 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1730 | 1750 | 1760.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | -2.7 | 4.3 | -2.7 | -2.70 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.394 | 1.433 | 1.394 | 1.39 | Low | |
| 14:00 | New Home Sales | 0.607 | 0.62 | 0.62 | High | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 17 | 9 | 15.00 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 10 | 5 | 7.50 | Low | ||
| Friday, September 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.95 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 1.1 | -0.4 | -0.40 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | 1.3 | -0.6 | -0.95 | High | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 47.8 | 51.7 | 47.6 | 47.70 | High | |
| 14:00 | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Current Conditions | 50.9 | 51.9 | 49.5 | 50.20 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4.6 | 4 | 4.6 | 4.60 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 45.8 | 51.5 | 45.8 | 45.80 | Low | |
| 17:00 | Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | 452 | 453 | 453.00 | Low | ||