Loading page content
Loading page content
US 103-Day Bill Auction climbed to 0.12% in April 2020, up 0.01% from March's 0.11% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
103-Day Bill Auction (United States) was reported at 0.12% in April 2020. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.11%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Employment Cost Index QoQ (Jul 31) and Employment Cost - Wages QoQ (Jul 31).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update April 2020.
The 103-Day Bill Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for short-term government debt securities with a maturity period of 103 days. This auction allows the government to raise funds by selling these bills to investors, providing insight into the current market sentiment and interest rates. It is a key indicator of the government's ability to borrow money and can impact overall economic stability.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Apr 2020): actual 0.115 %. Prior reading (Apr 2020): 0.165 %. Before that (Apr 2020): 0.165 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Wednesday, July 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -7.167 | 2.011 | -1.3 | -4.23 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 0.007 | 0.765 | -0.7 | -0.35 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 1.062 | 1.395 | 0.2 | 0.63 | Low | |
| 18:00 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | |
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Income MoM | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.35 | High | |
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index MoM | -0.1 | 0.5 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | PCE Prices QoQ | 5.1 | 4.6 | 4 | 4.63 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 197 | 188 | 200 | 192.75 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.85 | Low | |
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.7 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.88 | High | |
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1782 | 1789 | 1800 | 1786.75 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.90 | High | |
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 202.75 | 207.75 | 210 | 205.06 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.18 | High | |
| 12:30 | GDP Sales QoQ | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.82 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Core PCE Prices QoQ | 3.4 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 3.52 | Low | |
| 12:30 | GDP Price Index QoQ | 6.3 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 4.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Personal Spending MoM | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | |
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 28 | 32 | 35 | 33.00 | Low | |