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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Labor Force Participation Rate (%) fell to 61.7 Percent in December 2025
World BankYearlyReleased December 2025
US Labor Force Participation Rate (%) fell to 61.7 Percent in December 2025, down 0.26 Percent from November's 61.96 Percent reading.
Latest Release
61.704000
Actual
—
Consensus
61.959000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Labor Force Participation Rate (%) (United States) was reported at 61.70 Percent in December 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 61.96 Percent. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. In December readings over the past 3 years, Labor Force Participation Rate (%) has averaged 61.91 Percent.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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Labor Force Participation Rate (%) - US
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About Labor Force Participation Rate (%) — United States
DEFINITION
The US Labor Force Participation Rate for December 2025 came in at 61.704%, down from November 2024’s 61.959%, marking a decline in workforce engagement. This decrease signals a contraction in labor market activity compared to the prior year-end level. Market focus now shifts to upcoming employment reports and Federal Reserve policy decisions amid this downward trend. Updated 5/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection.