US Nonfarm Productivity YoY held to 0.5% in February 2013
US Nonfarm Productivity YoY held to 0.5% in February 2013, released March 2013.
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Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Method: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Nonfarm Productivity YoY (United States) was reported at 0.5% in March 2013. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Fed Schmid Speech (Nov 10) and Fed Bowman Speech (Nov 10).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2013.
Nonfarm Productivity YoY - US
About Nonfarm Productivity YoY — United States
DEFINITION
Nonfarm Productivity YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in output per hour worked in the nonfarm sector over a 12-month period. This metric provides valuable insights into the efficiency and productivity of the overall economy, as well as the potential for future economic growth. A positive YoY change indicates an increase in productivity, while a negative change suggests a decline. Nonfarm Productivity YoY is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses as it can impact inflation, wages, and overall economic performance.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Mar 2013): actual 0.5 %. Prior reading (Mar 2013, first reported): 0.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast is 0.5% (latest print 0.5%). This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, November 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.65 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Wholesale Sales MoM | 2.8 | 2 | 1.1 | 1.95 | Low | |
| 16:00 | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.85 | Low | |
| 16:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.06 | 4.04 | 4.009 | 4.03 | Low | |
| Tuesday, November 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 97.8 | 97.9 | 97.7 | 98.30 | Low | |
| 13:30 | CPI s.a | 337.48 | 336.3 | 337 | 337.17 | High | |
| 13:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.33 | High | |
| 13:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.23 | High | |
| 13:30 | CPI | 337.51 | 336.94 | 337.02 | 337.13 | High | |
| 13:55 | Redbook YoY | 10.1 | 10.4 | 9.3 | 9.70 | Low | |
| 21:30 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -5.267 | -1 | 3.79 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, November 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | Budget Balance | -27 | -298 | -339.85 | Medium | ||