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Data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Professional Business Services Payrolls climbed to 22,445 Thousands in March 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsMonthlyReleased April 2026
US Professional Business Services Payrolls climbed to 22,445 Thousands in March 2026, released April 2026, up 7 Thousands from February's 22,438 Thousands reading.
Latest Release
22445.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
22438.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.64 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.60 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.58 | FOREX | Bearish NZD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.51 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.47 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Professional Business Services Payrolls (United States) was reported at 22,445.00 Thousands in March 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 22,438.00 Thousands. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 22,393.80 Thousands, ranging from 22,335.00 Thousands to 22,445.00 Thousands across 10 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 22,431.67 Thousands, up from the prior three at 22,390.33 Thousands. Volatility over the past year (σ 32.71 Thousands) is lower than the prior year (σ 44.00 Thousands). In April readings over the past 3 years, Professional Business Services Payrolls has averaged 22,510.33 Thousands.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update April 2026.
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Professional Business Services Payrolls - US
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About Professional Business Services Payrolls — United States
DEFINITION
US Professional Business Services Payrolls fell to 22,372K in December 2025, down from November’s 22,391K, marking a sixth consecutive monthly decline. The sector remains 78K below its May 2025 peak of 22,450K, with the pace of contraction slowing since September. Market reaction was muted, reflecting confidence in a stable labor market and steady sector outlook. Updated 4/3/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Labor-market data shapes consumer-spending forecasts and is closely tracked by central banks assessing the output gap and wage-inflation pass-through. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 22,445 Thousands. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 22,438 Thousands. Before that (Feb 2026): 22,412 Thousands.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bullish USD, r=0.64) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.