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US JPY/USD Exchange Rate held to 158.91 JPY per USD in August 2026.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.68 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
JPY/USD Exchange Rate (United States) was reported at 158.91 JPY per USD in August 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 156.58 JPY per USD, ranging from 146.36 JPY per USD to 163.86 JPY per USD across 246 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a daily basis.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 158.74 JPY per USD, down from the prior three at 159.38 JPY per USD. Volatility over the past year (σ 4.19 JPY per USD) is comparable than the prior year (σ 4.55 JPY per USD). In August readings over the past 3 years, JPY/USD Exchange Rate has averaged 149.75 JPY per USD.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with USD/CHF, positively correlated (Bullish USD).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Chicago PMI (Aug 28) and Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations (Aug 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
The US JPY/USD Exchange Rate registered at 158.910000 on August 21, 2026, slightly above the previous 158.850000 recorded on August 20. The rate showed minor fluctuation throughout the week, peaking at 159.58 on August 18 before settling near the current level. Market participants remain attentive to central bank signals amid this stable yet sensitive currency environment. Updated 8/25/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released daily.
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 158.9 JPY per USD. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 158.9 JPY per USD. Before that (Aug 2026): 158.5 JPY per USD.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bullish USD, r=0.68) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Thursday, August 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance Adv | -118.8 | -101.41 | -99 | -102.92 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 205.5 | 204.25 | 203 | 204.25 | High | |
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 203 | 207 | 208 | 205.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | -0.5 | 0 | 0.27 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.38 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1778 | 1796 | 1790 | 1784.00 | High | |
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance | -118.8 | -101.41 | -99 | -102.88 | High | |
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 15 | 16 | 20 | 17.50 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 17 | 17 | 14 | 15.50 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9.00 | Low | |
| Friday, August 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:45 | Chicago PMI | 57.6 | 57 | 63.10 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations | 4.2 | 4.3 | 4.30 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 4.30 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 51 | 55.2 | 51 | 51.00 | High | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 50.6 | 55.4 | 50.6 | 50.60 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Current Conditions | 51.8 | 54.8 | 51.8 | 51.80 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 17 | 14 | 15.50 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 9 | 8 | 9.00 | Low | ||