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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 10-Year NTN-F Auction climbed to 15.04% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US 10-Year NTN-F Auction climbed to 15.04% in January 2025, released February 2025, up 0.24% from December's 14.8% reading.
Latest Release
15.035000
Actual
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Consensus
14.799000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
10-Year NTN-F Auction (United States) was reported at 15.04% in January 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 14.8%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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10-Year NTN-F Auction - US
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About 10-Year NTN-F Auction — United States
DEFINITION
The 10-Year NTN-F Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest for 10-year government bonds issued by the National Treasury of a country. This auction provides valuable insights into the current market sentiment and the perceived creditworthiness of the government, as well as the overall health of the economy. Investors and analysts closely monitor the results of this auction to make informed decisions about their investments and to assess the country's fiscal stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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