United StatesUS CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions climbed to -129.4K in October 2026
US CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions climbed to -129.4K in October 2026, released 6 Nov 2026, up 5K from September's -134.4K reading.
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Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
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Method: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions (United States) was reported at -129 thousand in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -134 thousand. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -124 thousand, ranging from -221 thousand to 11 thousand across 44 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -136 thousand, up from the prior three at -146 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 52 thousand) is lower than the prior year (σ 80 thousand). Across releases published in November over the past 3 years, CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions has averaged -137 thousand.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Core PPI MoM (Nov 13) and Producer Price Index MoM (Nov 13).
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions - US
About CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions — United States
DEFINITION
US CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions stood at -129.400000K for November, improving from October's -134.400000K. The data shows a reduction in net short positions, indicating a slight shift in speculative sentiment compared to the prior month. Market participants will watch upcoming releases for further positioning trends. Updated 11/6/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Nov 2026): actual -129.4 K. Prior reading (Oct 2026): -134.4 K. Before that (Oct 2026, first reported): -142.7 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast is -125.53K (latest print -129.4K). The projection is based on the indicator's own recent trend.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Thursday, November 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 200 | 191 | 195 | 197.50 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1697 | 1717 | 1710 | 1703.50 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 195.25 | 195.25 | 192.5 | 193.88 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | -5.5 | 1 | 0.3 | -2.60 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 3.75 | 3.97 | 3.85 | 3.80 | High |
| 17:00 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | 4.657 | -0.865 | -1.1 | 1.78 | Medium |
| 17:00 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 4.071 | -3.565 | -1 | 1.54 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 1.799 | -0.222 | -0.1 | 0.85 | Medium |
| 19:00 | US | Budget Balance | -404 | -27 | -298.6 | -351.30 | Medium |
| Friday, November 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.3 | 6.6 | 6.60 | Low | |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 5 | 5 | 5.00 | Low | |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 5 | 5 | 5.00 | Low | |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index | 159.78 | 160 | 160.00 | Low | |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 77 | 66 | 66.00 | Low | |
| Monday, November 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 25.5 | 10 | 14.80 | High | |
Editorial review: Neha Gupta, AnalystLinkedIn profile
Neha Gupta is a Chartered Financial Analyst with over 18 years of experience in finance and more than 11 years as a financial writer. She’s authored for clients worldwide, including platforms like MarketWatch, TipRanks, InsiderMonkey, and Seeking Alpha. Her work is known for its technical rigor, clear communication, and compliance-awareness—evident in her success enhancing market updates.