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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions climbed to -205.6K in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
US CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions climbed to -205.6K in May 2026, released June 2026, up 15.2K from April's -220.8K reading.
Latest Release
-205.600000
Actual
—
Consensus
-220.800000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions (United States) was reported at -206 thousand in May 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -221 thousand. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -150 thousand, ranging from -225 thousand to -81 thousand across 42 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -197 thousand, down from the prior three at -122 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 34 thousand) is lower than the prior year (σ 60 thousand). In June readings over the past 3 years, CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions has averaged -157 thousand.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 19, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions - US
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About CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions — United States
DEFINITION
US CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions stood at -205.600000K for the week ending June 12, 2026, improving from -220.800000K the prior week. This marks a reduction in net short exposure compared to June 5’s reading, signaling a slight easing in bearish speculative sentiment. Market participants remain cautious ahead of upcoming economic data releases and Federal Reserve commentary. Updated 6/12/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -205.6 K. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -220.8 K. Before that (May 2026): -165.8 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.