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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions fell to -75.9K in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
US CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions fell to -75.9K in August 2026, released September 2026, down 7.9K from July's -68K reading.
Latest Release
-75.900000
Actual
—
Consensus
-68.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions (United States) was reported at -76 thousand in August 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of -68 thousand. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -128 thousand, ranging from -225 thousand to 11 thousand across 38 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -52 thousand, down from the prior three at -11 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 58 thousand) is lower than the prior year (σ 76 thousand). In September readings over the past 3 years, CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions has averaged -162 thousand.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 11, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Sep 9) and API Crude Oil Stock Change (Sep 9).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions - US
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About CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions — United States
DEFINITION
US CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions for August registered at -75.900000K, a deeper net short than July's -68.000000K. This marks a continuation of bearish positioning after a brief recovery in mid-August. Market participants remain cautious ahead of upcoming economic data and Federal Reserve signals. Updated 9/4/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual -75.9 K. Prior reading (Aug 2026): -68 K. Before that (Aug 2026): -10.6 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Tuesday, September 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.8 | 99.3 | 98.95 | Low | |
| 15:00 | US | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.45 | Low | |
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.77 | 3.7999 | 3.80 | Low | |
| 19:00 | US | Consumer Credit Change | 14.17 | 12 | 12.00 | Low | |