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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Car Sales YoY fell to -11.3% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US Car Sales YoY fell to -11.3% in January 2025, released February 2025, down 4.9% from December's -6.4% reading.
Latest Release
-11.300000
Actual
—
Consensus
-6.400000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Car Sales YoY (United States) was reported at -11.3% in January 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of -6.4%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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Car Sales YoY - US
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About Car Sales YoY — United States
DEFINITION
Car Sales YoY (Year over Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the number of cars sold by a company or industry over a 12-month period. This metric is used to assess the overall performance and growth of the automotive market, providing valuable insights into consumer demand and economic trends. A positive YoY growth indicates a healthy market, while a negative growth may signal a decline in sales. Car Sales YoY is a key tool for investors, analysts, and businesses to make informed decisions and track the health of the automotive industry.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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