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US Case-Shiller Home Price Index held to 332.1 in January 2026, released February 2026.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| AAPL | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | STOCKS | Bearish AAPL | → View |
| MSFT | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | STOCKS | Bullish MSFT | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Case-Shiller Home Price Index (United States) was reported at 332.10 Index Jan 2000=100 in January 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 329.17 Index Jan 2000=100, ranging from 326.79 Index Jan 2000=100 to 332.10 Index Jan 2000=100 across 9 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 331.77 Index Jan 2000=100, up from the prior three at 328.80 Index Jan 2000=100. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.09 Index Jan 2000=100) is lower than the prior year (σ 3.08 Index Jan 2000=100). In February readings over the past 3 years, Case-Shiller Home Price Index has averaged 326.35 Index Jan 2000=100.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with AAPL, negatively correlated (Bearish AAPL).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Leading Index MoM (May 22) and Fed Waller Speech (May 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2026.
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| Wednesday, May 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -7.864 | -4.306 | -2.9 | -5.38 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 0.372 | 0.19 | -1.1 | -0.36 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | -1.548 | -4.084 | -2.1 | -1.82 | Medium | |
| Thursday, May 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.442 | 1.363 | 1.39 | 1.53 | High | |
| 12:30 | Housing Starts MoM | -2.8 | 12 | -3.5 | -3.15 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Housing Starts | 1.465 | 1.507 | 1.41 | 1.44 | High | |
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | 5.8 | -11.5 | 0.5 | 3.15 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1782 | 1776 | 1790 | 1786.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 202.5 | 204 | 203 | 202.75 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | -0.4 | 26.7 | 18 | 15.73 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 209 | 212 | 210 | 209.50 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Services PMI | 50.9 | 51 | 51.1 | 50.88 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51.7 | 51.7 | 51.5 | 51.60 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 55.3 | 54.5 | 53.8 | 53.88 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.3 | 4 | 4 | 3.92 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 101 | 85 | 95 | 98.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 8 | 10 | 9 | 8.50 | Low | |