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Data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS CPI Gasoline climbed to 353.74 in March 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsMonthlyReleased April 2026
US CPI Gasoline climbed to 353.74 in March 2026, released April 2026, up 18.24 from February's 335.5 reading.
Latest Release
353.740000
Actual
—
Consensus
335.500000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.82 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| MSFT | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | STOCKS | Bullish MSFT | → View |
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.53 | STOCKS | Bearish GOOGL | → View |
| AAPL | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | STOCKS | Bearish AAPL | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI Gasoline (United States) was reported at 353.74 Index 1982-84=100 in March 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 335.50 Index 1982-84=100. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 290.38 Index 1982-84=100, ranging from 266.54 Index 1982-84=100 to 353.74 Index 1982-84=100 across 10 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 322.00 Index 1982-84=100, up from the prior three at 280.90 Index 1982-84=100. Volatility over the past year (σ 27.91 Index 1982-84=100) is higher than the prior year (σ 8.99 Index 1982-84=100). In April readings over the past 3 years, CPI Gasoline has averaged 313.97 Index 1982-84=100.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with MSFT, positively correlated (Bullish MSFT).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update April 2026.
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CPI Gasoline - US
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About CPI Gasoline — United States
DEFINITION
US CPI Gasoline fell to 283.599000 in December 2025, down from November’s 284.560000. This 0.3% decline marks a slight pullback after a volatile autumn rally, with the index still 4.2% above July’s low of 266.542. Energy equities showed muted reaction as gasoline inflation eased, while bond yields held steady amid ongoing supply-demand tensions. Updated 4/3/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 353.7 Index 1982-84=100. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 335.5 Index 1982-84=100. Before that (Feb 2026): 276.8 Index 1982-84=100.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.82) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.