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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 10-Year Note Auction climbed to 4.22 in February 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
US 10-Year Note Auction climbed to 4.22 in February 2026, released March 2026, up 0.04 from January's 4.18 reading.
Latest Release
4.217000
Actual
—
Consensus
4.177000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.62 | FOREX | Bearish AUD | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.62 | FOREX | Bearish NZD | → View |
| MSFT | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | STOCKS | Bearish MSFT | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The March 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 4.18. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with AUD/USD (Bearish AUD) and negatively correlated with NZD/USD (Bearish NZD).
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10-Year Note Auction - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 19.6 | 11 | 7.5 | 11.55 | Medium |
| 13:15 | US | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.45 | Medium |
| 13:15 | US | Capacity Utilization | 76.1 | 75.7 | 75.8 | 75.82 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.75 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.28 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 0.76 | 0.4 | 0.75 | Low |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 34 | 34 | 31.50 | Medium | |
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.60 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | -1.1 | -0.5 | -0.50 | Medium | |