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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 30-Year Bond Auction climbed to 5.31% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
US 30-Year Bond Auction climbed to 5.31% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.09% from July's 5.22% reading.
Latest Release
5.308000
Actual
—
Consensus
5.216000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | ▲ Direct | +0.59 | STOCKS | Moves with | → View |
| AAPL | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | STOCKS | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| MSFT | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | STOCKS | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
30-Year Bond Auction (United States) was reported at 5.31% in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 5.22%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.94%, ranging from 4.69% to 5.31% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 5.19%, up from the prior three at 4.98%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.2%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.15%). In September readings over the past 3 years, 30-Year Bond Auction has averaged 4.66%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GOOGL (Bullish GOOGL). A secondary relationship exists with AAPL, positively correlated (Bullish AAPL).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 8, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15) and NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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30-Year Bond Auction - US
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About 30-Year Bond Auction — United States
DEFINITION
The 30-Year Bond Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for long-term government bonds. It is a regular event where the government sells bonds with a maturity of 30 years to investors, such as banks, pension funds, and individuals. The auction results provide insight into the current market sentiment and can impact interest rates and the overall economy. This indicator is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it reflects the confidence in the government's ability to repay its debt and the overall health of the bond market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 5.308 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 5.216 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 5.058 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GOOGL (Bullish GOOGL, r=0.59) — a useful reference for stocks-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.8 | 3.809 | 3.81 | Low | |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 20.6 | 15 | 10.85 | High | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | -0.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 5.9 | 6 | 6.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 5 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | -1.3 | -0.5 | -0.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.65 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | 8.2 | 7.5 | 7.90 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 35 | 34 | 33.50 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 4 | 4.00 | High | |
| 20:00 | US | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | 172.7 | 146.3 | 146.30 | Medium | |