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Data from FRED. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS USD/EUR Exchange Rate held to 1.14 USD per EUR in July 2026
FREDDailyReleased July 2026
US USD/EUR Exchange Rate held to 1.14 USD per EUR in July 2026.
Latest Release
1.143800
Actual
—
Consensus
1.143800
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.79 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.73 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.60 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
USD/EUR Exchange Rate (United States) was reported at 1.14 USD per EUR in July 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.17 USD per EUR, ranging from 1.13 USD per EUR to 1.20 USD per EUR across 244 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a daily basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.14 USD per EUR, down from the prior three at 1.14 USD per EUR. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.01 USD per EUR) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.04 USD per EUR). In July readings over the past 3 years, USD/EUR Exchange Rate has averaged 1.13 USD per EUR.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with USD/CHF, negatively correlated (Bearish USD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include API Crude Oil Stock Change (Jul 21) and MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jul 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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USD/EUR Exchange Rate - US
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About USD/EUR Exchange Rate — United States
DEFINITION
US USD/EUR Exchange Rate closed at 1.143800 on July 10, 2026, slightly below June 29’s 1.1425 and June 30’s 1.1417 levels. The exchange rate showed minor fluctuations throughout early July, maintaining a narrow range around 1.14 to 1.144. Market participants remain attentive to upcoming economic data and central bank signals amid this stable currency environment. Updated 7/14/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released daily.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 1.144 USD per EUR. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 1.144 USD per EUR. Before that (Jul 2026): 1.14 USD per EUR.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR, r=0.79) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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