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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 5-Year Bobl Auction fell to 2.17% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US 5-Year Bobl Auction fell to 2.17% in January 2025, released February 2025, down 0.25% from December's 2.42% reading.
Latest Release
2.170000
Actual
—
Consensus
2.420000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
5-Year Bobl Auction (United States) was reported at 2.17% in January 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.42%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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5-Year Bobl Auction - US
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About 5-Year Bobl Auction — United States
DEFINITION
The 5-Year Bobl Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest for German government bonds with a maturity of five years. This auction is held regularly by the German Federal Government to raise funds for its operations and is closely monitored by investors and analysts as a gauge of market sentiment and economic stability. The results of the auction, including the interest rate and amount of bids received, can provide valuable insights into the current state of the German economy and the overall market conditions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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