United StatesUS CFTC Wheat speculative net positions fell to -62.5K in October 2026
US CFTC Wheat speculative net positions fell to -62.5K in October 2026, released November 2026, down 11.7K from September's -50.8K reading.
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Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Method: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
CFTC Wheat speculative net positions (United States) was reported at -63 thousand in November 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of -51 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through November 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -37 thousand, ranging from -88 thousand to 25 thousand across 44 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -48 thousand, down from the prior three at -17 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 28 thousand) is higher than the prior year (σ 18 thousand). In November readings over the past 3 years, CFTC Wheat speculative net positions has averaged -69 thousand.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Fed Schmid Speech (Nov 10) and Fed Bowman Speech (Nov 10).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update November 2026.
CFTC Wheat speculative net positions - US
About CFTC Wheat speculative net positions — United States
DEFINITION
US CFTC Wheat speculative net positions fell to -62.500 K in November from October’s -50.800 K, marking a deeper net short position. The data shows a continued decline in speculative holdings over the past month. Market participants will watch upcoming reports for further shifts in positioning. Updated 11/6/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Nov 2026): actual -62.5 K. Prior reading (Oct 2026): -50.8 K. Before that (Oct 2026, first reported): -29.3 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast is -77.47K (latest print -62.5K). The 3-month forecast is -107.4K. The projection is based on the indicator's own recent trend.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, November 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.65 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Wholesale Sales MoM | 2.8 | 2 | 1.1 | 1.95 | Low |
| 16:00 | US | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.85 | Low |
| 16:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.06 | 4.04 | 4.009 | 4.03 | Low |
| Tuesday, November 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 97.8 | 97.9 | 97.7 | 98.30 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | CPI s.a | 337.48 | 336.3 | 337 | 337.17 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.33 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.23 | High |
| 13:30 | US | CPI | 337.51 | 336.94 | 337.02 | 337.13 | High |
| 13:55 | US | Redbook YoY | 10.1 | 10.4 | 9.3 | 9.70 | Low |
| 21:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -5.267 | -1 | 3.79 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, November 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Budget Balance | -27 | -298 | -339.85 | Medium | |