Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS CFTC Wheat speculative net positions fell to -57.9K in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
US CFTC Wheat speculative net positions fell to -57.9K in May 2026, released June 2026, down 17.1K from April's -40.8K reading.
Latest Release
-57.900000
Actual
—
Consensus
-40.800000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
CFTC Wheat speculative net positions (United States) was reported at -58 thousand in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of -41 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -57 thousand, ranging from -89 thousand to 0 thousand across 42 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -36 thousand, down from the prior three at -10 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 25 thousand) is higher than the prior year (σ 20 thousand). In June readings over the past 3 years, CFTC Wheat speculative net positions has averaged -74 thousand.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 19, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
SHARE
CFTC Wheat speculative net positions - US
Loading chart data...
About CFTC Wheat speculative net positions — United States
DEFINITION
US CFTC Wheat speculative net positions fell to -57.900000K in June from -40.800000K in May, marking a significant increase in net short exposure. This sharp decline signals growing bearish sentiment among speculators compared to the prior month. Market participants will watch for further shifts as volatility in wheat futures persists. Updated 6/12/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -57.9 K. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -40.8 K. Before that (May 2026): -9.5 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.