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US Wholesale Sales MoM fell to 2.0% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 1.0% from April's 3.0% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.79 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.68 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| MSFT | ▼ Inverse | −0.55 | STOCKS | Bearish MSFT | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.51 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Wholesale Sales MoM (United States) was reported at 2% in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.62%, ranging from -0.4% to 2% across 9 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 1.17%, up from the prior three at 0.23%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.8%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.14%).
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
Wholesale Sales MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the total value of sales made by wholesalers from one month to the next. It provides valuable insights into the current state of the wholesale market and can be used to track trends and predict future economic activity. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and policymakers as it reflects the overall health of the economy and can impact financial markets.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 2 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 2.8 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 2.7 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD, r=0.79) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | -0.7 | 4.4 | -0.6 | -0.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.413 | 1.423 | 1.42 | 1.42 | High | |
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 6.7 | 4.2 | 6 | 6.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Housing Starts MoM | -15.4 | -8.5 | -2 | -8.70 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Housing Starts | 1.177 | 1.392 | 1.43 | 1.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 11.2 | 8.8 | 10.4 | 10.80 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | 1.9 | 2 | 1 | 1.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | 1.3 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 1.25 | Medium | |
| 16:00 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 2.8 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.07 | Medium | |
| 20:30 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -8.33 | -9.119 | -4.5 | -6.42 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 4.9 | 4 | 4.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales YoY | 3.2 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.80 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -7.228 | -4.6 | -1.72 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 0.186 | -1 | -2.92 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -0.2 | -0.5 | -1.01 | Low | ||
| 18:00 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | ||
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1795 | 1800 | 1803.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | -0.4 | 10 | 14.05 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 219 | 223 | 221.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 229 | 225 | 220.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Leading Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | ||
| 20:00 | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | 81.3 | 75 | 46.95 | Medium | ||