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US 8-Week Bill Auction held to 3.61% in May 2026, released June 2026.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | STOCKS | Bearish GOOGL | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
8-Week Bill Auction (United States) was reported at 3.61% in June 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.85%, ranging from 3.54% to 4.47% across 44 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 3.61%, up from the prior three at 3.61%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.27%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.4%). In June readings over the past 3 years, 8-Week Bill Auction has averaged 4.7%.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GOOGL (Bearish GOOGL). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP).
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
The 8-Week Bill Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest rates for short-term government debt securities. These auctions are held every 8 weeks by the U.S. Treasury Department and provide a benchmark for the cost of borrowing money for the government. The results of these auctions can indicate the overall health of the economy and investor confidence in the government's ability to repay its debts. This indicator is closely monitored by financial analysts and investors as it can impact interest rates and the overall performance of the bond market.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 3.61 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 3.61 %. Before that (May 2026): 3.615 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
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| Monday, June 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 19.6 | 13.2 | 11.50 | Medium | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Medium | ||
| 13:15 | Capacity Utilization | 76.1 | 76.2 | 76.25 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.55 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.35 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 37 | 37 | 37.50 | Medium | ||
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | 4.4 | -0.6 | -0.60 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.423 | 1.41 | 1.41 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 4.2 | 6 | 6.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Housing Starts MoM | -2.8 | -2 | -2.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Housing Starts | 1.465 | 1.44 | 1.44 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 8.8 | 11.9 | 11.90 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.90 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | 3.3 | 2.1 | 2.10 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 4.9 | 4 | 4.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales YoY | 3.2 | 1.5 | 2.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.45 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | ||
| 18:00 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | ||