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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 8-Week Bill Auction held to 3.61% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
US 8-Week Bill Auction held to 3.61% in May 2026, released June 2026.
Latest Release
3.610000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.610000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | STOCKS | Bearish GOOGL | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
8-Week Bill Auction (United States) was reported at 3.61% in June 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.85%, ranging from 3.54% to 4.47% across 44 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.61%, up from the prior three at 3.61%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.27%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.4%). In June readings over the past 3 years, 8-Week Bill Auction has averaged 4.7%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GOOGL (Bearish GOOGL). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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8-Week Bill Auction - US
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About 8-Week Bill Auction — United States
DEFINITION
The 8-Week Bill Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest rates for short-term government debt securities. These auctions are held every 8 weeks by the U.S. Treasury Department and provide a benchmark for the cost of borrowing money for the government. The results of these auctions can indicate the overall health of the economy and investor confidence in the government's ability to repay its debts. This indicator is closely monitored by financial analysts and investors as it can impact interest rates and the overall performance of the bond market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 3.61 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 3.61 %. Before that (May 2026): 3.615 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.