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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 30-Year Mortgage Rate climbed to 6.52% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
US 30-Year Mortgage Rate climbed to 6.52% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.04% from April's 6.48% reading.
Latest Release
6.520000
Actual
—
Consensus
6.480000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | STOCKS | Bearish GOOGL | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | FOREX | Bearish AUD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
30-Year Mortgage Rate (United States) was reported at 6.52% in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 6.48%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 6.35%, ranging from 5.98% to 6.81% across 44 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 6.51%, up from the prior three at 6.44%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.23%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.23%). In June readings over the past 3 years, 30-Year Mortgage Rate has averaged 6.78%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GOOGL (Bearish GOOGL). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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30-Year Mortgage Rate - US
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About 30-Year Mortgage Rate — United States
DEFINITION
The 30-Year Mortgage Rate is a financial indicator that measures the average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. It is a key factor in determining the cost of borrowing for home buyers and reflects the current state of the housing market and overall economy. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, economists, and individuals looking to purchase or refinance a home. A lower 30-Year Mortgage Rate can indicate a more favorable lending environment, while a higher rate may signal a less favorable market for home buyers.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Housing data leads broader economic cycles by several months and is highly rate-sensitive, with knock-on effects to construction, materials, and consumer credit. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 6.52 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 6.48 %. Before that (May 2026): 6.53 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GOOGL (Bearish GOOGL, r=-0.43) — a useful reference for stocks-focused traders.